Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.019733 0.021188 0.022699 0.024386 0.026219 0.028151 0.030344
2026-01-25 0.017369 0.019474 0.021771 0.024468 0.027556 0.030990 0.035109
2026-02-01 0.015606 0.018059 0.020834 0.024217 0.028246 0.032911 0.038749
2026-02-08 0.014206 0.016858 0.019945 0.023823 0.028592 0.034300 0.041702
2026-02-15 0.013194 0.015996 0.019339 0.023650 0.029101 0.035818 0.044802
2026-02-22 0.012313 0.015209 0.018740 0.023398 0.029436 0.037071 0.047572
2026-03-01 0.011592 0.014561 0.018252 0.023224 0.029816 0.038352 0.050400
2026-03-08 0.010961 0.013980 0.017802 0.023049 0.030150 0.039551 0.053146
2026-03-15 0.010494 0.013579 0.017550 0.023102 0.030766 0.041130 0.056472
2026-03-22 0.010015 0.013133 0.017207 0.022999 0.031144 0.042378 0.059373
2026-03-29 0.009603 0.012749 0.016923 0.022951 0.031577 0.043701 0.062435
2026-04-05 0.009243 0.012418 0.016688 0.022949 0.032061 0.045103 0.065671
2026-04-12 0.008881 0.012080 0.016446 0.022948 0.032582 0.046639 0.069293
2026-04-19 0.008583 0.011817 0.016296 0.023074 0.033296 0.048504 0.073556
2026-04-26 0.008198 0.011413 0.015923 0.022848 0.033460 0.049532 0.076551
2026-05-03 0.007801 0.010972 0.015474 0.022480 0.033380 0.050166 0.078926
2026-05-10 0.007492 0.010645 0.015175 0.022319 0.033603 0.051271 0.082133
2026-05-17 0.007185 0.010306 0.014841 0.022083 0.033688 0.052150 0.084997
2026-05-24 0.006917 0.010014 0.014564 0.021921 0.033875 0.053194 0.088196
2026-05-31 0.006666 0.009737 0.014296 0.021756 0.034044 0.054206 0.091392
2026-06-07 0.006484 0.009557 0.014168 0.021805 0.034562 0.055825 0.095766
2026-06-14 0.006277 0.009330 0.013958 0.021710 0.034828 0.057018 0.099431
2026-06-21 0.006094 0.009132 0.013785 0.021664 0.035172 0.058358 0.103447